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The Fed held its troops for the fourth consecutive time, and spot gold almost stood at the 3370 mark

Post time: 2025-06-19 views

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Group]: The Federal Reserve has remained silent for the fourth consecutive time, and spot gold is almost defending the 3370 mark." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

On June 19, early trading in the Asian market on Thursday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 98.86. In the early morning of Thursday, the US dollar index once stood above the 99 mark and finally closed up 0.03% to 98.85 as the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, suggesting that the pace of interest rate cuts will slow down in the future, and expected "quite high inflation" in the next few months. U.S. Treasury yields fell first and then rose, with the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields finally closing at 4.3970%, and the 2-year U.S. Treasury yields closed at 3.9520%. Spot gold narrowly closed down 3370 mark and finally closed down 0.58% at $3370.20/ounce; spot silver finally closed down 1.16% at $36.72/ounce. On Wednesday, Trump said Iran had contacted the United States and the U.S. oil fell. WTI crude oil fell 3% during the day, and then the decline narrowed and finally closed down 0.93% at $73.07 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed down 1.27% at $76.03 per barrel.

Analysis of major currencies

Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovers around 98.86. The dollar index fell several points after the Fed's latest call for interest rates and dot chart updates. FOMC still expects to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in 2025, but policy uncertainty widens the lattice spread. Technically, if the U.S. dollar index returns below 50MA at 98.56, it will move towards the support level in the 98.00–98.20 range.

The Fed held its troops for the fourth consecutive time, and spot gold almost stood at the 3370 mark(图1)

Euro: As of press time, the euro/dollar hoversAround 1.1479, the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged, and the euro/dollar remained almost the same after climbing to 1.1500. This, along with edoyoko.comments from U.S. President Donald Trump, boosted the dollar, limiting the gains in the euro (EUR). Technically, if this attempt is successful, the EUR/USD will move towards the next resistance level in the range of 1.1685–1.1700.

The Fed held its troops for the fourth consecutive time, and spot gold almost stood at the 3370 mark(图2)

GBP: As of press time, GBP/USD is hovering around 1.3412. Pound traders consolidated near the 1.3400 mark intraday as pound traders prepare for the Bank of England (BoE)'s own interest rate decision earlier on Thursday. Technically, if GBP/USD rises above the 1.3500 level, it will test 50MA1.3534.

The Fed held its troops for the fourth consecutive time, and spot gold almost stood at the 3370 mark(图3)

Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends

1) Analysis of gold market trends

On Thursday, gold trading around 3379.81. Gold prices rose slightly at the start of the Asian session after the Fed decided to maintain interest rates, while saying they are still considering a two-time rate cut. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump’s edoyoko.comments on Iran triggered a pullback to a weekly low of $3,362 before closing near the current level.

The Fed held its troops for the fourth consecutive time, and spot gold almost stood at the 3370 mark(图4)

Technical: Gold prices are still tilting upward, but continuous printing of Doji shows that traders are waiting for the Fed's decision. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also flat but bullish. So if Powell and other directors turn dovishly, the rebound is expected to exceed $3,400 and above. In this result, the next key resistance level will be the $3450 mark and the all-time high of $3500 in the near term. Conversely, if gold falls below the low of $3370 on the day, the pullback may widen to the $3350 mark, or even lower. The following key support is $3301 for the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), followed by $3167 for the high support on April 3.

2) Analysis of crude oil market trends

On Thursday, crude oil trading around 74.15. Worries about the possible involvement of the United States in the Middle East are boosting oil prices. Crude oil futures rose on concerns about supply disruptions. Iran's ambassador to the United Nations vowed to respond strongly if the United States was involved in the war.

The Fed held its troops for the fourth consecutive time, and spot gold almost stood at the 3370 mark(图5)

Technical: Because President Donald Trump refusesDefinitely edoyoko.comment on whether he plans to join Israeli military operations against Iran. If WTI crude oil stabilizes above $75.00, it will move towards the $77.00-$77.50 resistance level.

Forex market trading reminder on June 19, 2025

①09:00 China's May Swift RMB accounts for global payments

②09:30 Australia's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in May

③14:00 Switzerland's May trade account

④15:30 Swiss National Bank announces interest rate resolution

⑤19:00 Bank of England announces interest rate resolution and meeting minutes

The above content is all about "[XM Group]: The Federal Reserve holds its troops for the fourth time in a row, and spot gold is almost at the 3370 mark". It is carefully edoyoko.compiled and edited by the XM Foreign Exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!

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