Your current location:home > News > Analysis
  NEWS

News

Analysis

Trump suspends his "decapitation" action against Iran! Countdown to the pharmaceutical tariff storm

Post time: 2025-06-18 views

Wonderful introduction:

Since ancient times, there have been joys and sorrows, and since ancient times, there have been sorrowful moon and songs. But we never understood it, and we thought everything was just a distant memory. Because there is no real experience, there is no deep feeling in the heart.

Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange]: Trump suspends the "decapitation" action against Iran! Countdown to the medical tariff storm". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

On June 18, early trading in Asia on Wednesday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 98.78. U.S. retail sales were weaker than expected in May on Tuesday, but consumer spending was still supported by solid wage growth. The US dollar index weakened after the data was released, but as the market digested the mixed situation reflected by the data, the US dollar quickly reversed its decline and finally closed up 0.69% to 98.84. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.3940%, while the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 3.9600%. Although tensions in Iran and Israel boosted safe-haven demand, the dollar strengthened limited gains, with spot gold finally closing up 0.14% to close at $3,389.49/ounce; spot silver prices soared to a 13-year high and finally closed up 2.32% to $37.13/ounce. Geopolitical tensions have left the market nervous as Trump urges everyone to evacuate from Tehran. WTI crude oil finally closed up 5.38% at $73.75 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 6.31% at $77.01 per barrel.

Analysis of major currencies

Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovers around 98.78. Worries about the escalating war between Israel and Iran boosted demand for safe-haven assets, but the dollar failed to get any significant support from this background. The U.S. dollar index is working to expand gains, breaking through the 98.00 level and remains dangerously close to the multi-year low of 97.50 hit last week. Technically, if the US dollar index successfully closes above 50MA at 98.59, it will move towards the next resistance level in the 99.00–99.20 range

Trump suspends his decapitation action against Iran! Countdown to the pharmaceutical tariff storm(图1)

Euro: As of press time, the euro/dollar hovered around 1.1489. As hostilities between Israel and Iran began, the euro/dollar rebounded after falling 0.25% last Friday, boosting the attractiveness of the dollar. Nevertheless, the improvement of risk appetite has supported the euro as the two sides continue to confront and the risk of evolving into regional conflicts has been slightly lowered. Technically, a break below 50MA1.1483 will push the euro/dollar towards the nearest support level of 1.1410–1.1425.

Trump suspends his decapitation action against Iran! Countdown to the pharmaceutical tariff storm(图2)

GBP: As of press time, GBP/USD hovered around 1.3437. GBP/USD fell back due to risk aversion and plummeted to 1.3515 as Israel attacked Iran’s military and nuclear facilities while targeting attacks on top officials. Since then, Iran has retaliated and the truce seems out of reach with the fight between the two sides. Technically, the recent support for GBP/USD is in the range of 1.3420–1.3440. If GBP/USD falls below the 1.3420 level, it will go to the next support level of 1.3260–1.3280.

Trump suspends his decapitation action against Iran! Countdown to the pharmaceutical tariff storm(图3)

Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends

1) Analysis of gold market trends

Which gold trading was around 3385.93. As the overall strength of the US dollar pushed gold down, gold prices fell below $3400 on Tuesday despite the worsening risk appetite. Nevertheless, the escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict may support precious metals because it has a risk-averse attraction.

Trump suspends his decapitation action against Iran! Countdown to the pharmaceutical tariff storm(图4)

Technical: As the price trend is still constructive, the upward trend of gold prices remains unchanged, achieving a series of higher highs and higher lows in succession. Any retracement can be regarded as an opportunity to buy on dips, as the momentum measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still bullish. That being said, the first resistance level for gold will be the $3400 mark, followed by $3450 and a short-term all-time high of $3500. Instead, If gold remains below $3400, the pullback may extend to the $3350 mark, or even lower. The following key support is $3293 for the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), followed by the high support of $3167 on April 3.

2) Crude oil market trend analysis

On Wednesday, crude oil trading around 74.92. As tensions in the Middle East escalate and the United States (US) The possibility of being involved in conflict increases, and WTI prices continue to rise. U.S. President Donald Trump posted on his social media platform calling for Iran to "unconditional surrender." Amid escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, fears that the U.S. will be involved in the conflict, pushing up WTI prices. In addition, a senior edoyoko.commander said on Saturday that Iran, a major oil producer, is considering closing the Strait of Hormuz. This, in turn, could push up crude oil prices in the short term.

Trump suspends his decapitation action against Iran! Countdown to the pharmaceutical tariff storm(图5)

Technical: Crude oil traders have begun pricing the possibility that the United States will be directly involved in the Israel-Iran conflict. A breakout above the $75.00 level will open the way for testing the $77.00-$77.50 resistance level.

Forex market trading reminder on June 18, 2025

①To be determined 2025 Lujiazui Forum was held in Shanghai

②14:00 UK May CPI monthly rate

③14:00 UK May retail price index monthly rate

④16:00 Eurozone April seasonally adjusted current account

⑤17:00 Eurozone 5 The final value of monthly CPI annual rate

⑥17:00 The final value of the euro zone May CPI monthly rate

⑦20:30 The number of people who requested unemployment benefits in the week from the United States to June 14

⑧20:30 The total number of new houses started in May in the United States

⑨20:30 The total number of construction permits in the United States in May

⑩22:30 The original EIA in the week from the United States to June 13 Oil inventories

22:30 EIA Cushing crude oil inventories in the week from the United States to June 13

22:30 EIA strategic oil reserve inventories in the week from the United States to June 13

23:15 Bank of Canada Governor McClum delivered a speech

00:00 the next day to the week from the United States to June 13

02 the next day :00 Fed FOMC announced the summary of interest rate resolution and economic expectations

The next day, Fed Chairman Powell held a monetary policy press conference

The above content is about "[XM Foreign Exchange]: Trump suspended the "decapitation" action against Iran! Countdown to the pharmaceutical tariff storm", which was carefully edoyoko.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!

Every successful person has a beginning. Only by having the courage to start can you find the way to success. Read the next article now!

 
Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider ourRisk Disclosure